FURLONG
Every Australian race, rated before the jump.
One membership covers Furlong, AImanac and every ClutchTip card. Cancel any time. Two races a day stay free.
Furlong reads the form on every runner in every TAB race in the country, every day. It never sees a price, and its top pick still wins one race in four.
Graded nightly against official results. Updated to 17 October 2026. Zero odds inputs.
Randwick R7 · The TAB Everest · Sat 17 Oct 2026
Furlong called the shape of the Everest. Top pick Tempted, 13.5%, barrier 1 — won at $6.50.
Sixteen starters. Four of the first five home — Tempted (1st, $6.50), Joliestar (3rd, $19), Headwall (4th, $51) and Ninja (5th, $26) — were inside Furlong's top five that morning. The one it missed was the $1.35 favourite, rated seventh; he ran second. Lodged in the members' form book before the jump and graded after it — no odds, no market, form only. Below: the form book as it stood pre-race, and the official result.
Today's form book
Two races free every day: the first race at each of the day's first two meetings. Members see every race. Every meeting, every race in running order, every runner rated. Scratched runners are struck through and the rest of the field re-rated, so the percentages always add up to the horses going around.
Where the winner came from
Last 30 days, 18 September to 17 October 2026: 1,062 races averaging 9.6 starters, scratched runners removed and the field re-ranked. Each bar is the share of races won by the horse Furlong ranked in that position.
Winner inside our top four: 718 of 1,062 races. A random four from these fields would hold the winner about 45% of the time.
| Picking the winner | Races | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Top pick won | 260 | 24.5% |
| Top pick finished in the first three | 614 | 57.8% |
| Winner in our top two | 452 | 42.6% |
| Winner in our top three | 594 | 55.9% |
| Winner in our top four | 718 | 67.6% |
| Reading the whole field | Races | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| First two home were our top two | 134 | 12.6% |
| First two home were in our top three | 289 | 27.2% |
| First two home were in our top four | 432 | 40.7% |
| First three home were our top three, in order | 19 | 1.8% |
| First three home were in our top four | 212 | 20.0% |
| First four home were our top four | 76 | 7.2% |
When our top pick is scratched. It happened in 205 races. Furlong's next horse still won 45 of them (22.0%), and the winner was in the re-ranked top three 54.6% of the time. When the top pick started, it won 215 of 857 (25.1%).
How it compares
Published records from racing selection services, beside Furlong's. They cover different races and different selection rules, so read this as a guide, not a league table.
| Service | What it covers | Top pick won |
|---|---|---|
| Furlong by ClutchTip | Every Australian TAB race, every day, form only, no odds | 25.3% of 2,320 |
| Furlong UK & Ireland | Every British and Irish race, every day, form only, no odds · live since 8 Oct 2026 | 30.2% of 410 |
| One Stop Racing predicted winners | UK and Irish racing, September 2026 | 25.4% of 1,081 |
| Wintelligence best bets | Human form analysts; a few hand-picked races each Saturday in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane | 38% |
Furlong counts every race at every meeting, country tracks included. Selective services publish their strongest few. Furlong's own standout picks are being graded separately and will appear here once the sample is meaningful.
How Furlong works
Each morning Furlong reads the full form for every horse in every Australian TAB race: recent runs, margins, class, distance, track, weight, barrier, connections and how each horse measures up against the rest of its field. It turns that into a win chance for every runner and a confidence tier for every race.
It never sees a price. No odds, no market moves and no betting data go into the model. When Furlong agrees with the favourite it got there on its own, and when it disagrees it is reading the form differently, not following the money.
How the record is kept
Every race is graded each night against official results. Nothing is hand-picked, and races where our top pick was scratched are shown separately, not quietly dropped.
Graded periods. 28 April to 11 August 2026 (1,194 races where the top pick started, 25.5%) and 2 September to 17 October 2026 (1,126 races, 25.2%), combined 588 of 2,320 (25.3%).
The gap. Grading failed between 12 August and 1 September, and those days can no longer be re-graded from our results provider, which keeps about 30 days. They are left out rather than estimated.
Method change. From 2 September, scratched runners are removed and the field re-ranked before grading. The 30-day figures use that method; the combined figure uses the original morning ranking throughout.
Ask AImanac about any game
The same engine behind ClutchTip's records, in a question box. NRL, AFL, NBA, NFL, rugby and more. Five free answers a month.
Furlong publishes statistical ratings for information only. It is not betting advice, and past results do not guarantee future results. If you choose to bet, set a limit and stick to it. For free, confidential support call Gambling Help on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.