AFL 2026 · market audit · as at 2026-09-29
Behind the favourite on accuracy, ahead on return
The engine never sees betting odds. Every pick is formed from form, personnel, venue and matchup alone and lodged before the first bounce. That is why it is free to disagree with the market, and why it made 38 contrarian calls in 2026.
This audit was run after the season: every published pick (199 home-and-away, 10 finals, no omissions) joined to bet365 closing head-to-head odds. Wins are wins, losses are losses, a draw counts as half.
72.0%engine, v favourite 76.0%
+5.7%return at closing odds, v +1.9%
15 / 38contrarian calls won
$2.68their average price
Headline, home and away
| Measure | Engine | Closing favourite |
|---|---|---|
| Games with a closing favourite | 198 | 198 |
| Tipping accuracy | 72.0% | 76.0% |
| Flat $1 return at closing odds (ROI) | +5.7% | +1.9% |
| Units won, flat $1 per game | +11.31 | +3.86 |
| Agreement with the market | 80.8% | - |
| Record when agreeing with the market | 127.5 / 160 (79.7%) | - |
| Contrarian calls (tipped against the closing favourite) | 38 | - |
| Contrarian record | 15 / 38 (39.5%) | - |
| Average closing price of contrarian picks | $2.68 | - |
| Contrarian return (ROI) | +11.8% | - |
Season phases
The same ledger, split by the stage of the engine that produced it.
| Phase | Games | Engine accuracy | Favourite accuracy | Contrarian calls won | Engine ROI | Favourite ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rounds 1-5 (early engine, cold start) | 37 | 67.6% | 81.1% | 1 of 7 | -4.2% | +12.7% |
| Rounds 6-17 (structured-reasoning framework) | 98 | 69.9% | 73.0% | 9 of 21 | +3.2% | -3.2% |
| Rounds 18-24 (current build) | 63 | 77.8% | 77.8% | 5 of 10 | +15.4% | +3.6% |
| Full home & away, Rounds 1-24 | 198 | 72.0% | 76.0% | 15 of 38 | +5.7% | +1.9% |
| Finals (wildcard to preliminary finals) | 9 | 55.6% | 77.8% | 0 of 2 | -7.0% | +18.9% |
Return through the season
Cumulative units from $1 on every pick at the closing price, against $1 on every closing favourite.
Where the engine gains and where it gives ground
In a year favourites won 76.0%, the engine gave ground in every price band. Its return came from long-priced calls: 3 of 4 contrarian picks at $3.50 and up won, for +10.40 units, and from Round 18 it matched the market outright.
By how sure the market was
| Closing favourite price | Games | Engine | Favourite | Tips gained |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (under $1.40) | 105 | 83.3% | 85.2% | -2.0 |
| Clear favourite ($1.40–$1.69) | 72 | 59.7% | 63.9% | -3.0 |
| Near coin-flip ($1.70 and up) | 21 | 57.1% | 71.4% | -3.0 |
By final margin
| Final margin | Games | Engine | Favourite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Decided by 12 or less (two goals) | 55 | 64.5% | 64.5% |
| 13 to 24 | 39 | 61.5% | 64.1% |
| 25 or more | 104 | 79.8% | 86.5% |
Upsets
| Games | Engine had the winner | |
|---|---|---|
| Closing favourite lost | 46 | 15 (32.6%) |
| Closing favourite won | 149 | 126 (84.6%) |
Contrarian calls by price
| Tip price | Calls | Won | Strike | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.00–$2.49 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | -2.25 |
| $2.50–$3.49 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | -3.65 |
| $3.50 and up | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | +10.40 |
Home or away
| Pick | Games | Won | Strike |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tipped the home side | 100 | 80.5 | 80.5% |
| Tipped the away side | 99 | 63 | 63.6% |
Reading this audit
2026 was an unusually strong year for AFL favourites (76%). On raw accuracy the engine finished four points behind the closing line, and we publish that plainly. On return it finished ahead, because its contrarian wins came at real prices: Essendon $6.50, West Coast $4.30, Carlton $3.60.
The trajectory is the story. The engine started cold, matured through the middle of the season, and from Round 18 matched the market's accuracy exactly while returning +15.4% at closing odds, without ever seeing a price.
Caveat, stated up front: 38 contrarian calls is a small sample and a few long-priced winners carry the contrarian return. One season is a result, not yet a proven edge.
Sources: closing odds from aussportsbetting.com historical AFL data (bet365 close); results from AFL Tables. Closing odds are a conservative entry proxy. One pick'em game per section has no favourite and is excluded from market comparisons only. Draws are settled as a dead heat.
Game by game
Every pick, both closing prices (home / away), the result and the return on a flat $1. Contrarian calls are shaded. Scores are home–away.
| Rd | Match | Tipped | Close H / A | Favourite | Score | Result | $1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Carlton v Richmond | Carlton | 1.34 / 3.25 | Carlton | 75-71 | WIN | +0.34 |
| R1 | Essendon v Hawthorn | Hawthorn | 4.30 / 1.22 | Hawthorn | 83-145 | WIN | +0.22 |
| R1 | Bulldogs v GWS | Bulldogs | 1.35 / 3.20 | Bulldogs | 134-53 | WIN | +0.35 |
| R1 | Geelong v Fremantle | Geelong | 1.50 / 2.60 | Geelong | 110-100 | WIN | +0.50 |
| R1 | Sydney v Brisbane | Sydney | 1.39 / 3.00 | Sydney | 104-60 | WIN | +0.39 |
| R1 | Collingwood v Adelaide | Collingwood | 1.74 / 2.10 | Collingwood | 79-93 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R2 | Hawthorn v Sydney | Sydney | 1.35 / 3.20 | Hawthorn | 99-82 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R2 | Adelaide v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 1.95 / 1.85 | Bulldogs | 88-94 | WIN | +0.85 |
| R2 | Richmond v Gold Coast | Gold Coast | 4.80 / 1.19 | Gold Coast | 60-128 | WIN | +0.19 |
| R2 | GWS v St Kilda | GWS | 1.60 / 2.35 | GWS | 74-78 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R2 | Fremantle v Melbourne | Melbourne | 1.32 / 3.40 | Fremantle | 118-70 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R2 | Port Adelaide v Essendon | Port Adelaide | 1.42 / 2.90 | Port Adelaide | 133-70 | WIN | +0.42 |
| R2 | West Coast v North Melbourne | North Melbourne | 2.75 / 1.45 | North Melbourne | 111-94 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R3 | Geelong v Adelaide | Adelaide | 1.23 / 4.20 | Geelong | 68-60 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R3 | Collingwood v GWS | Collingwood | 1.40 / 3.00 | Collingwood | 87-54 | WIN | +0.40 |
| R3 | St Kilda v Brisbane | St Kilda | 2.30 / 1.62 | Brisbane | 80-113 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R3 | Fremantle v Richmond | Fremantle | 1.03 / 13.00 | Fremantle | 103-43 | WIN | +0.03 |
| R3 | Essendon v North Melbourne | North Melbourne | 2.85 / 1.43 | North Melbourne | 69-81 | WIN | +0.43 |
| R3 | Port Adelaide v West Coast | Port Adelaide | 1.24 / 4.10 | Port Adelaide | 90-92 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R3 | Carlton v Melbourne | Melbourne | 2.00 / 1.80 | Melbourne | 77-100 | WIN | +0.80 |
| R4 | Brisbane v Collingwood | Collingwood | 1.33 / 3.35 | Brisbane | 119-65 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R4 | North Melbourne v Carlton | North Melbourne | 2.20 / 1.67 | Carlton | 96-86 | WIN | +1.20 |
| R4 | Adelaide v Fremantle | Fremantle | 2.25 / 1.65 | Fremantle | 76-78 | WIN | +0.65 |
| R4 | Richmond v Port Adelaide | Port Adelaide | 2.80 / 1.44 | Port Adelaide | 48-90 | WIN | +0.44 |
| R4 | West Coast v Sydney | Sydney | 5.00 / 1.17 | Sydney | 35-163 | WIN | +0.17 |
| R4 | Melbourne v Gold Coast | Gold Coast | 3.50 / 1.30 | Gold Coast | 109-89 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R4 | Bulldogs v Essendon | Bulldogs | 1.01 / 17.00 | Bulldogs | 99-65 | WIN | +0.01 |
| R4 | Hawthorn v Geelong | Hawthorn | 1.75 / 2.10 | Hawthorn | 92-91 | WIN | +0.75 |
| R5 | Adelaide v Carlton | Adelaide | 1.15 / 5.50 | Adelaide | 114-86 | WIN | +0.15 |
| R5 | Collingwood v Fremantle | Fremantle | 2.70 / 1.47 | Fremantle | 39-45 | WIN | +0.47 |
| R5 | North Melbourne v Brisbane | Brisbane | 6.20 / 1.12 | Brisbane | 66-92 | WIN | +0.12 |
| R5 | Essendon v Melbourne | Melbourne | 4.00 / 1.25 | Melbourne | 113-68 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R5 | Sydney v Gold Coast | Sydney | 1.74 / 2.10 | Sydney | 100-68 | WIN | +0.74 |
| R5 | Hawthorn v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 1.60 / 2.35 | Hawthorn | 104-64 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R5 | Geelong v West Coast | Geelong | 1.08 / 8.00 | Geelong | 122-76 | WIN | +0.08 |
| R5 | GWS v Richmond | GWS | 1.11 / 6.50 | GWS | 131-75 | WIN | +0.11 |
| R5 | Port Adelaide v St Kilda | St Kilda | 2.23 / 1.65 | St Kilda | 67-81 | WIN | +0.65 |
| R6 | Carlton v Collingwood | Collingwood | 2.35 / 1.60 | Collingwood | 83-88 | WIN | +0.60 |
| R6 | Geelong v Bulldogs | Geelong | 1.55 / 2.45 | Geelong | 131-56 | WIN | +0.55 |
| R6 | Sydney v GWS | Sydney | 1.25 / 4.00 | Sydney | 107-66 | WIN | +0.25 |
| R6 | Gold Coast v Essendon | Gold Coast | 1.10 / 7.00 | Gold Coast | 119-110 | WIN | +0.10 |
| R6 | Hawthorn v Port Adelaide | Hawthorn | 1.10 / 7.00 | Hawthorn | 89-86 | WIN | +0.10 |
| R6 | Adelaide v St Kilda | St Kilda | 1.65 / 2.25 | Adelaide | 103-102 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R6 | North Melbourne v Richmond | North Melbourne | 1.21 / 4.35 | North Melbourne | 130-55 | WIN | +0.21 |
| R6 | Melbourne v Brisbane | Brisbane | 4.00 / 1.25 | Brisbane | 104-102 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R6 | West Coast v Fremantle | Fremantle | 7.50 / 1.09 | Fremantle | 41-97 | WIN | +0.09 |
| R7 | Bulldogs v Sydney | Sydney | 3.00 / 1.40 | Sydney | 60-126 | WIN | +0.40 |
| R7 | Richmond v Melbourne | Melbourne | 6.00 / 1.13 | Melbourne | 72-126 | WIN | +0.13 |
| R7 | Hawthorn v Gold Coast | Hawthorn | 1.65 / 2.25 | Hawthorn | 112-63 | WIN | +0.65 |
| R7 | Essendon v Collingwood | Collingwood | 3.20 / 1.35 | Collingwood | 60-137 | WIN | +0.35 |
| R7 | Port Adelaide v Geelong | Geelong | 4.00 / 1.25 | Geelong | 95-65 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R7 | Fremantle v Carlton | Fremantle | 1.09 / 7.50 | Fremantle | 103-89 | WIN | +0.09 |
| R7 | St Kilda v West Coast | St Kilda | 1.10 / 7.00 | St Kilda | 143-42 | WIN | +0.10 |
| R7 | Brisbane v Adelaide | Brisbane | 1.25 / 4.00 | Brisbane | 127-75 | WIN | +0.25 |
| R7 | GWS v North Melbourne | North Melbourne | 1.50 / 2.60 | GWS | 105-98 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R8 | Collingwood v Hawthorn | Hawthorn | 4.20 / 1.23 | Hawthorn | 93-93 | DRAW | -0.39 |
| R8 | Bulldogs v Fremantle | Fremantle | 3.15 / 1.36 | Fremantle | 102-114 | WIN | +0.36 |
| R8 | Adelaide v Port Adelaide | Port Adelaide | 1.58 / 2.40 | Adelaide | 76-75 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R8 | Essendon v Brisbane | Brisbane | 8.50 / 1.07 | Brisbane | 79-143 | WIN | +0.07 |
| R8 | West Coast v Richmond | West Coast | 1.37 / 3.05 | West Coast | 88-99 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R8 | Geelong v North Melbourne | Geelong | 1.23 / 4.20 | Geelong | 135-86 | WIN | +0.23 |
| R8 | Carlton v St Kilda | St Kilda | 2.45 / 1.54 | St Kilda | 69-108 | WIN | +0.54 |
| R8 | Sydney v Melbourne | Sydney | 1.12 / 6.25 | Sydney | 131-114 | WIN | +0.12 |
| R8 | Gold Coast v GWS | Gold Coast | 1.57 / 2.40 | Gold Coast | 83-63 | WIN | +0.57 |
| R9 | Fremantle v Hawthorn | Fremantle | 1.70 / 2.15 | Fremantle | 88-73 | WIN | +0.70 |
| R9 | Brisbane v Carlton | Brisbane | 1.10 / 7.00 | Brisbane | 100-89 | WIN | +0.10 |
| R9 | Port Adelaide v Bulldogs | Port Adelaide | 2.00 / 1.80 | Bulldogs | 72-74 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R9 | GWS v Essendon | GWS | 1.10 / 7.00 | GWS | 103-89 | WIN | +0.10 |
| R9 | Gold Coast v St Kilda | Gold Coast | 1.34 / 3.20 | Gold Coast | 89-60 | WIN | +0.34 |
| R9 | Geelong v Collingwood | Geelong | 1.48 / 2.65 | Geelong | 122-68 | WIN | +0.48 |
| R9 | Richmond v Adelaide | Adelaide | 6.00 / 1.13 | Adelaide | 61-98 | WIN | +0.13 |
| R9 | North Melbourne v Sydney | Sydney | 3.35 / 1.32 | Sydney | 97-105 | WIN | +0.32 |
| R9 | Melbourne v West Coast | Melbourne | 1.10 / 7.00 | Melbourne | 99-67 | WIN | +0.10 |
| R10 | Brisbane v Geelong | Brisbane | 1.47 / 2.70 | Brisbane | 76-117 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R10 | Sydney v Collingwood | Sydney | 1.13 / 6.00 | Sydney | 81-75 | WIN | +0.13 |
| R10 | Gold Coast v Port Adelaide | Gold Coast | 1.21 / 4.40 | Gold Coast | 98-73 | WIN | +0.21 |
| R10 | Adelaide v North Melbourne | Adelaide | 1.48 / 2.65 | Adelaide | 133-65 | WIN | +0.48 |
| R10 | Melbourne v Hawthorn | Melbourne | 2.80 / 1.44 | Hawthorn | 120-81 | WIN | +1.80 |
| R10 | Carlton v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 2.35 / 1.60 | Bulldogs | 74-62 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R10 | Essendon v Fremantle | Fremantle | 4.80 / 1.19 | Fremantle | 61-104 | WIN | +0.19 |
| R10 | St Kilda v Richmond | St Kilda | 1.09 / 7.50 | St Kilda | 109-73 | WIN | +0.09 |
| R10 | West Coast v GWS | West Coast | 4.30 / 1.22 | GWS | 88-71 | WIN | +3.30 |
| R11 | Hawthorn v Adelaide | Hawthorn | 1.55 / 2.45 | Hawthorn | 75-66 | WIN | +0.55 |
| R11 | Richmond v Essendon | Essendon | 2.80 / 1.44 | Essendon | 74-56 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R11 | Fremantle v St Kilda | Fremantle | 1.27 / 3.75 | Fremantle | 104-74 | WIN | +0.27 |
| R11 | North Melbourne v Gold Coast | Gold Coast | 2.40 / 1.58 | Gold Coast | 111-105 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R11 | Geelong v Sydney | Sydney | 1.50 / 2.60 | Geelong | 107-80 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R11 | Collingwood v West Coast | Collingwood | 1.06 / 9.50 | Collingwood | 92-82 | WIN | +0.06 |
| R11 | Port Adelaide v Carlton | Port Adelaide | 1.44 / 2.80 | Port Adelaide | 58-92 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R11 | GWS v Brisbane | Brisbane | 2.45 / 1.55 | Brisbane | 166-88 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R11 | Bulldogs v Melbourne | Melbourne | 2.08 / 1.75 | Melbourne | 93-90 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R12 | St Kilda v Hawthorn | Hawthorn | 3.35 / 1.33 | Hawthorn | 67-119 | WIN | +0.33 |
| R12 | Carlton v Geelong | Geelong | 4.40 / 1.21 | Geelong | 88-84 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R12 | Sydney v Richmond | Sydney | 1.04 / 11.00 | Sydney | 170-56 | WIN | +0.04 |
| R12 | Brisbane v Fremantle | Fremantle | 1.58 / 2.40 | Brisbane | 78-103 | WIN | +1.40 |
| R12 | Bulldogs v Collingwood | Collingwood | 1.60 / 2.35 | Bulldogs | 97-93 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R12 | Melbourne v GWS | Melbourne | 2.20 / 1.67 | GWS | 70-119 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R12 | West Coast v Essendon | Essendon | 1.44 / 2.80 | West Coast | 85-55 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R13 | Adelaide v Geelong | Geelong | 2.60 / 1.50 | Geelong | 75-74 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R13 | Hawthorn v Bulldogs | Hawthorn | 1.50 / 2.60 | Hawthorn | 71-77 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R13 | North Melbourne v Fremantle | Fremantle | 4.00 / 1.25 | Fremantle | 31-155 | WIN | +0.25 |
| R13 | Gold Coast v Brisbane | Brisbane | 1.50 / 2.60 | Gold Coast | 75-106 | WIN | +1.60 |
| R13 | West Coast v Port Adelaide | Port Adelaide | 2.20 / 1.67 | Port Adelaide | 71-77 | WIN | +0.67 |
| R13 | Sydney v St Kilda | Sydney | 1.19 / 4.75 | Sydney | 104-102 | WIN | +0.19 |
| R13 | Essendon v Carlton | Carlton | 5.00 / 1.17 | Carlton | 67-72 | WIN | +0.17 |
| R13 | Collingwood v Melbourne | Melbourne | 1.90 / 1.90 | Pick'em | 75-83 | WIN | +0.90 |
| R14 | Bulldogs v Adelaide | Adelaide | 1.65 / 2.25 | Bulldogs | 64-121 | WIN | +1.25 |
| R14 | Geelong v Gold Coast | Geelong | 1.21 / 4.40 | Geelong | 105-60 | WIN | +0.21 |
| R14 | Melbourne v Essendon | Melbourne | 1.18 / 4.90 | Melbourne | 95-50 | WIN | +0.18 |
| R14 | North Melbourne v West Coast | North Melbourne | 1.45 / 2.75 | North Melbourne | 74-73 | WIN | +0.45 |
| R14 | Port Adelaide v Sydney | Sydney | 2.80 / 1.44 | Sydney | 90-93 | WIN | +0.44 |
| R14 | Richmond v Brisbane | Brisbane | 10.00 / 1.05 | Brisbane | 80-115 | WIN | +0.05 |
| R14 | St Kilda v GWS | St Kilda | 1.95 / 1.85 | GWS | 96-88 | WIN | +0.95 |
| R15 | Fremantle v Geelong | Fremantle | 1.33 / 3.30 | Fremantle | 99-90 | WIN | +0.33 |
| R15 | Gold Coast v Hawthorn | Hawthorn | 2.35 / 1.60 | Hawthorn | 97-113 | WIN | +0.60 |
| R15 | Adelaide v Melbourne | Melbourne | 1.34 / 3.25 | Adelaide | 79-62 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R15 | GWS v Carlton | Carlton | 1.29 / 3.60 | GWS | 65-88 | WIN | +2.60 |
| R15 | Collingwood v Port Adelaide | Collingwood | 1.55 / 2.45 | Collingwood | 78-52 | WIN | +0.55 |
| R15 | Richmond v North Melbourne | North Melbourne | 3.60 / 1.29 | North Melbourne | 48-73 | WIN | +0.29 |
| R15 | St Kilda v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 1.80 / 2.00 | St Kilda | 61-83 | WIN | +1.00 |
| R16 | Brisbane v Sydney | Sydney | 1.85 / 1.95 | Brisbane | 126-83 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R16 | Hawthorn v GWS | Hawthorn | 1.26 / 3.80 | Hawthorn | 96-82 | WIN | +0.26 |
| R16 | Carlton v West Coast | Carlton | 1.13 / 6.00 | Carlton | 117-64 | WIN | +0.13 |
| R16 | Collingwood v Richmond | Collingwood | 1.11 / 6.50 | Collingwood | 106-72 | WIN | +0.11 |
| R16 | Port Adelaide v Adelaide | Adelaide | 3.70 / 1.25 | Adelaide | 97-71 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R16 | North Melbourne v Essendon | North Melbourne | 1.45 / 2.75 | North Melbourne | 79-65 | WIN | +0.45 |
| R16 | Fremantle v Gold Coast | Fremantle | 1.18 / 4.50 | Fremantle | 80-29 | WIN | +0.18 |
| R17 | Geelong v Brisbane | Geelong | 1.47 / 2.70 | Geelong | 101-123 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R17 | Sydney v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 1.44 / 2.80 | Sydney | 90-55 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R17 | West Coast v Adelaide | Adelaide | 4.85 / 1.18 | Adelaide | 74-99 | WIN | +0.18 |
| R17 | Hawthorn v Melbourne | Hawthorn | 1.42 / 2.90 | Hawthorn | 90-125 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R17 | GWS v Fremantle | Fremantle | 3.90 / 1.26 | Fremantle | 109-88 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R17 | Gold Coast v Collingwood | Collingwood | 1.62 / 2.30 | Gold Coast | 98-104 | WIN | +1.30 |
| R17 | Richmond v Carlton | Carlton | 5.80 / 1.14 | Carlton | 72-74 | WIN | +0.14 |
| R17 | Essendon v St Kilda | St Kilda | 4.20 / 1.23 | St Kilda | 50-117 | WIN | +0.23 |
| R17 | Port Adelaide v North Melbourne | North Melbourne | 1.44 / 2.80 | Port Adelaide | 73-52 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R18 | Fremantle v Sydney | Fremantle | 1.43 / 2.85 | Fremantle | 111-73 | WIN | +0.43 |
| R18 | Collingwood v North Melbourne | Collingwood | 1.39 / 3.00 | Collingwood | 89-85 | WIN | +0.39 |
| R18 | St Kilda v Port Adelaide | St Kilda | 1.55 / 2.45 | St Kilda | 87-73 | WIN | +0.55 |
| R18 | GWS v Geelong | Geelong | 2.15 / 1.70 | Geelong | 86-73 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R18 | Carlton v Hawthorn | Hawthorn | 2.30 / 1.62 | Hawthorn | 39-103 | WIN | +0.62 |
| R18 | Adelaide v Gold Coast | Adelaide | 1.29 / 3.60 | Adelaide | 128-49 | WIN | +0.29 |
| R18 | Bulldogs v West Coast | Bulldogs | 1.13 / 6.00 | Bulldogs | 86-70 | WIN | +0.13 |
| R18 | Melbourne v Richmond | Melbourne | 1.10 / 7.00 | Melbourne | 111-65 | WIN | +0.10 |
| R18 | Brisbane v Essendon | Brisbane | 1.02 / 14.00 | Brisbane | 149-59 | WIN | +0.02 |
| R19 | Geelong v St Kilda | Geelong | 1.42 / 2.85 | Geelong | 102-75 | WIN | +0.42 |
| R19 | Sydney v Adelaide | Sydney | 1.41 / 2.90 | Sydney | 71-87 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R19 | Port Adelaide v Fremantle | Fremantle | 8.50 / 1.07 | Fremantle | 75-103 | WIN | +0.07 |
| R19 | Collingwood v Carlton | Carlton | 1.70 / 2.15 | Collingwood | 90-69 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R19 | North Melbourne v Melbourne | Melbourne | 2.90 / 1.42 | Melbourne | 76-92 | WIN | +0.42 |
| R19 | West Coast v Brisbane | Brisbane | 7.00 / 1.10 | Brisbane | 69-93 | WIN | +0.10 |
| R19 | Richmond v Hawthorn | Hawthorn | 10.00 / 1.05 | Hawthorn | 52-122 | WIN | +0.05 |
| R19 | Gold Coast v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 1.67 / 2.20 | Gold Coast | 68-77 | WIN | +1.20 |
| R19 | Essendon v GWS | Essendon | 6.50 / 1.11 | GWS | 67-64 | WIN | +5.50 |
| R20 | Adelaide v Collingwood | Adelaide | 1.36 / 3.20 | Adelaide | 74-108 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R20 | Melbourne v Geelong | Melbourne | 1.95 / 1.85 | Geelong | 97-117 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R20 | Fremantle v West Coast | Fremantle | 1.04 / 11.00 | Fremantle | 112-42 | WIN | +0.04 |
| R20 | Carlton v Gold Coast | Carlton | 1.65 / 2.25 | Carlton | 110-97 | WIN | +0.65 |
| R20 | Hawthorn v Essendon | Hawthorn | 1.02 / 14.00 | Hawthorn | 132-39 | WIN | +0.02 |
| R20 | GWS v Sydney | Sydney | 2.65 / 1.48 | Sydney | 88-139 | WIN | +0.48 |
| R20 | Bulldogs v Richmond | Bulldogs | 1.09 / 7.50 | Bulldogs | 105-48 | WIN | +0.09 |
| R20 | Brisbane v Port Adelaide | Brisbane | 1.07 / 8.50 | Brisbane | 126-67 | WIN | +0.07 |
| R20 | North Melbourne v St Kilda | St Kilda | 2.75 / 1.45 | St Kilda | 62-93 | WIN | +0.45 |
| R21 | Collingwood v Geelong | Collingwood | 2.10 / 1.74 | Geelong | 72-97 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R21 | Fremantle v Bulldogs | Fremantle | 1.08 / 8.00 | Fremantle | 78-41 | WIN | +0.08 |
| R21 | St Kilda v Sydney | Sydney | 2.45 / 1.55 | Sydney | 88-107 | WIN | +0.55 |
| R21 | Hawthorn v North Melbourne | Hawthorn | 1.08 / 8.00 | Hawthorn | 99-83 | WIN | +0.08 |
| R21 | Port Adelaide v GWS | GWS | 2.00 / 1.80 | GWS | 63-75 | WIN | +0.80 |
| R21 | Carlton v Brisbane | Brisbane | 3.35 / 1.33 | Brisbane | 154-78 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R21 | Richmond v West Coast | Richmond | 2.15 / 1.70 | West Coast | 84-73 | WIN | +1.15 |
| R21 | Gold Coast v Melbourne | Melbourne | 2.05 / 1.77 | Melbourne | 105-114 | WIN | +0.77 |
| R21 | Essendon v Adelaide | Adelaide | 7.50 / 1.09 | Adelaide | 73-145 | WIN | +0.09 |
| R22 | Bulldogs v North Melbourne | Bulldogs | 1.43 / 2.85 | Bulldogs | 77-100 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R22 | Brisbane v Hawthorn | Hawthorn | 1.80 / 2.00 | Brisbane | 125-58 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R22 | Melbourne v Fremantle | Fremantle | 2.45 / 1.55 | Fremantle | 113-109 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R22 | Sydney v Port Adelaide | Sydney | 1.06 / 9.00 | Sydney | 167-70 | WIN | +0.06 |
| R22 | Geelong v Essendon | Geelong | 1.01 / 17.00 | Geelong | 117-50 | WIN | +0.01 |
| R22 | Adelaide v Richmond | Adelaide | 1.02 / 14.00 | Adelaide | 63-54 | WIN | +0.02 |
| R22 | GWS v Gold Coast | GWS | 1.40 / 3.00 | GWS | 77-79 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R22 | West Coast v Collingwood | Collingwood | 2.30 / 1.62 | Collingwood | 98-117 | WIN | +0.62 |
| R22 | St Kilda v Carlton | Carlton | 1.95 / 1.85 | Carlton | 62-106 | WIN | +0.85 |
| R23 | Fremantle v Adelaide | Fremantle | 1.27 / 3.80 | Fremantle | 112-88 | WIN | +0.27 |
| R23 | Richmond v St Kilda | St Kilda | 3.50 / 1.30 | St Kilda | 45-94 | WIN | +0.30 |
| R23 | North Melbourne v Geelong | Geelong | 3.30 / 1.34 | Geelong | 110-125 | WIN | +0.34 |
| R23 | Brisbane v Gold Coast | Brisbane | 1.15 / 5.50 | Brisbane | 95-53 | WIN | +0.15 |
| R23 | Hawthorn v Collingwood | Hawthorn | 1.28 / 3.65 | Hawthorn | 92-92 | DRAW | -0.36 |
| R23 | Port Adelaide v Melbourne | Melbourne | 4.00 / 1.25 | Melbourne | 56-132 | WIN | +0.25 |
| R23 | GWS v West Coast | GWS | 1.14 / 5.75 | GWS | 111-57 | WIN | +0.14 |
| R23 | Bulldogs v Carlton | Carlton | 3.70 / 1.28 | Carlton | 82-82 | DRAW | -0.36 |
| R23 | Essendon v Sydney | Sydney | 12.00 / 1.03 | Sydney | 76-112 | WIN | +0.03 |
| R24 | St Kilda v Gold Coast | Gold Coast | 1.40 / 2.95 | St Kilda | 80-103 | WIN | +1.95 |
| R24 | Collingwood v Brisbane | Brisbane | 2.90 / 1.42 | Brisbane | 96-159 | WIN | +0.42 |
| R24 | Carlton v Fremantle | Carlton | 2.30 / 1.62 | Fremantle | 119-82 | WIN | +1.30 |
| R24 | Melbourne v Bulldogs | Melbourne | 1.43 / 2.85 | Melbourne | 87-108 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R24 | Adelaide v GWS | Adelaide | 1.23 / 4.20 | Adelaide | 157-101 | WIN | +0.23 |
| R24 | Geelong v Richmond | Geelong | 1.01 / 18.00 | Geelong | 133-76 | WIN | +0.01 |
| R24 | Essendon v Port Adelaide | Port Adelaide | 2.00 / 1.80 | Port Adelaide | 95-105 | WIN | +0.80 |
| R24 | Sydney v North Melbourne | North Melbourne | 1.60 / 2.35 | Sydney | 123-70 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R24 | West Coast v Hawthorn | Hawthorn | 10.00 / 1.05 | Hawthorn | 45-107 | WIN | +0.05 |
| WC | Bulldogs v Collingwood | Bulldogs | 1.80 / 2.00 | Bulldogs | 96-93 | WIN | +0.80 |
| WC | Melbourne v Carlton | Carlton | 1.90 / 1.90 | Pick'em | 55-74 | WIN | +0.90 |
| F1 | Fremantle v Hawthorn | Fremantle | 1.45 / 2.75 | Fremantle | 40-72 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| F1 | Geelong v Carlton | Geelong | 1.48 / 2.65 | Geelong | 107-74 | WIN | +0.48 |
| F1 | Sydney v Brisbane | Brisbane | 3.70 / 1.28 | Brisbane | 141-88 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| F1 | Adelaide v Bulldogs | Adelaide | 1.29 / 3.40 | Adelaide | 90-68 | WIN | +0.29 |
| FW2 | Fremantle v Geelong | Fremantle | 1.54 / 2.50 | Fremantle | 120-106 | WIN | +0.54 |
| FW2 | Brisbane v Adelaide | Brisbane | 1.29 / 3.60 | Brisbane | 144-91 | WIN | +0.29 |
| PF | Sydney v Fremantle | Sydney | 2.50 / 1.53 | Fremantle | 71-83 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| PF | Hawthorn v Brisbane | Hawthorn | 2.05 / 1.77 | Brisbane | 122-131 | LOSS | -1.00 |