NRL 2026 · market audit · as at 2026-09-29
A market-blind engine that beat the closing line
The engine never sees betting odds. Every pick is formed from form, personnel, venue and matchup alone, and each round's full card is lodged before that round's first kick-off. That is why it is free to disagree with the market, and why it made 35 contrarian calls in 2026 and won 24 of them.
This audit was run after the season: every published pick (204 home-and-away, 6 finals, no omissions) joined to closing head-to-head odds. Wins are wins, losses are losses.
69.0%engine, v favourite 62.6%
+9.0%return at closing odds, v -10.3%
24 / 35contrarian calls won
$2.34their average price
Headline, home and away
| Measure | Engine | Closing favourite |
|---|---|---|
| Games with a closing favourite | 203 | 203 |
| Tipping accuracy | 69.0% | 62.6% |
| Flat $1 return at closing odds (ROI) | +9.0% | -10.3% |
| Units won, flat $1 per game | +18.36 | -21.01 |
| Agreement with the market | 82.8% | - |
| Record when agreeing with the market | 116 / 168 (69.0%) | - |
| Contrarian calls (tipped against the closing favourite) | 35 | - |
| Contrarian record | 24 / 35 (68.6%) | - |
| Average closing price of contrarian picks | $2.34 | - |
| Contrarian return (ROI) | +61.6% | - |
Season phases
The same ledger, split by the stage of the engine that produced it.
| Phase | Games | Engine accuracy | Favourite accuracy | Contrarian calls won | Engine ROI | Favourite ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rounds 1-5 (early engine, cold start) | 39 | 59.0% | 59.0% | 6 of 12 | +3.5% | -9.9% |
| Rounds 6-17 (structured-reasoning framework) | 88 | 76.1% | 67.0% | 12 of 16 | +22.5% | -3.2% |
| Rounds 18-27 (current build) | 76 | 65.8% | 59.2% | 6 of 7 | -3.8% | -18.8% |
| Full home & away, Rounds 1-27 | 203 | 69.0% | 62.6% | 24 of 35 | +9.0% | -10.3% |
| Finals (weeks 1 and 2) | 6 | 50.0% | 50.0% | none made | -28.7% | -28.7% |
Return through the season
Cumulative units from $1 on every pick at the closing price, against $1 on every closing favourite.
Where the engine gains and where it gives ground
The gap opens where the market is least sure. In near coin-flip games the engine went 63.6% to the favourite's 39.4%, and in games decided by six points or less it went 62.7% to 47.5%.
By how sure the market was
| Closing favourite price | Games | Engine | Favourite | Tips gained |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite (under $1.40) | 80 | 76.2% | 72.5% | +3.0 |
| Clear favourite ($1.40–$1.69) | 90 | 64.4% | 62.2% | +2.0 |
| Near coin-flip ($1.70 and up) | 33 | 63.6% | 39.4% | +8.0 |
By final margin
| Final margin | Games | Engine | Favourite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Decided by 6 or less | 59 | 62.7% | 47.5% |
| 7 to 12 | 31 | 61.3% | 64.5% |
| 13 or more | 113 | 74.3% | 69.9% |
Upsets
| Games | Engine had the winner | |
|---|---|---|
| Closing favourite lost | 76 | 24 (31.6%) |
| Closing favourite won | 127 | 116 (91.3%) |
Contrarian calls by price
| Tip price | Calls | Won | Strike | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.00–$2.49 | 28 | 19 | 67.9% | +12.32 |
| $2.50–$3.49 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | +5.65 |
| $3.50 and up | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | +3.60 |
Home or away
| Pick | Games | Won | Strike |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tipped the home side | 115 | 82 | 71.3% |
| Tipped the away side | 89 | 59 | 66.3% |
Reading this audit
2026 was a hard year for NRL favourites: the closing favourite won 62.6% of games and backing every one of them lost 10.3%. The engine, which never sees a price, finished 6.4 points ahead on accuracy and returned +9.0% at closing odds, a swing of more than 19 points on the market's own favourites.
The contrarian calls are the story. The engine sided against the closing favourite 35 times and was right 24 times, at an average price of $2.34. A market-blind engine has no reason to follow the crowd, and in 2026 that independence paid.
Caveats, stated up front: 35 contrarian calls is a small sample. Rounds 18-27 returned slightly negative at closing odds even though the engine out-tipped the favourite, because the favourites it agreed with had a poor run. In the finals it tipped the favourite in all six games and went 3 from 6.
Sources: closing odds from the aussportsbetting.com historical NRL data; results from the ClutchTip ledger, verified against official scores. Closing odds are a conservative entry proxy. One pick'em game (R5 Eels v Tigers) has no favourite and is excluded from market comparisons only.
Game by game
Every pick, both closing prices (home / away), the result and the return on a flat $1. Contrarian calls are shaded. Scores are home–away.
| Rd | Match | Tipped | Close H / A | Favourite | Score | Result | $1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Broncos v Panthers | Broncos | 1.77 / 2.05 | Broncos | 0-26 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R1 | Bulldogs v Dragons | Bulldogs | 1.50 / 2.55 | Bulldogs | 15-14 | WIN | +0.50 |
| R1 | Dolphins v Rabbitohs | Dolphins | 1.70 / 2.15 | Dolphins | 30-40 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R1 | Knights v Cowboys | Cowboys | 2.40 / 1.55 | Cowboys | 28-18 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R1 | Sea Eagles v Raiders | Raiders | 1.80 / 2.00 | Sea Eagles | 28-29 | WIN | +1.00 |
| R1 | Sharks v Titans | Sharks | 1.30 / 3.55 | Sharks | 50-10 | WIN | +0.30 |
| R1 | Storm v Eels | Storm | 1.43 / 2.85 | Storm | 52-4 | WIN | +0.43 |
| R1 | Warriors v Roosters | Roosters | 2.60 / 1.50 | Roosters | 42-18 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R2 | Broncos v Eels | Broncos | 1.25 / 4.00 | Broncos | 32-40 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R2 | Dolphins v Titans | Dolphins | 1.37 / 3.10 | Dolphins | 18-14 | WIN | +0.37 |
| R2 | Dragons v Storm | Storm | 3.00 / 1.40 | Storm | 20-46 | WIN | +0.40 |
| R2 | Panthers v Sharks | Panthers | 1.35 / 3.20 | Panthers | 26-6 | WIN | +0.35 |
| R2 | Roosters v Rabbitohs | Rabbitohs | 1.70 / 2.15 | Roosters | 26-18 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R2 | Sea Eagles v Knights | Sea Eagles | 1.60 / 2.35 | Sea Eagles | 16-36 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R2 | Warriors v Raiders | Warriors | 1.85 / 1.95 | Warriors | 40-6 | WIN | +0.85 |
| R2 | Tigers v Cowboys | Tigers | 1.60 / 2.35 | Tigers | 44-16 | WIN | +0.60 |
| R3 | Cowboys v Titans | Cowboys | 1.63 / 2.30 | Cowboys | 30-16 | WIN | +0.63 |
| R3 | Eels v Dragons | Eels | 1.58 / 2.40 | Eels | 30-20 | WIN | +0.58 |
| R3 | Knights v Warriors | Warriors | 2.85 / 1.43 | Warriors | 12-38 | WIN | +0.43 |
| R3 | Rabbitohs v Tigers | Tigers | 1.57 / 2.40 | Rabbitohs | 20-16 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R3 | Raiders v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 1.85 / 1.95 | Raiders | 10-14 | WIN | +0.95 |
| R3 | Roosters v Panthers | Panthers | 2.50 / 1.53 | Panthers | 4-40 | WIN | +0.53 |
| R3 | Sharks v Dolphins | Dolphins | 1.45 / 2.75 | Sharks | 10-38 | WIN | +1.75 |
| R3 | Storm v Broncos | Broncos | 1.35 / 3.20 | Storm | 14-18 | WIN | +2.20 |
| R4 | Broncos v Dolphins | Dolphins | 1.67 / 2.20 | Broncos | 26-12 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R4 | Bulldogs v Knights | Bulldogs | 1.24 / 4.10 | Bulldogs | 16-24 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R4 | Cowboys v Storm | Storm | 4.00 / 1.25 | Storm | 28-24 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R4 | Panthers v Eels | Panthers | 1.18 / 4.90 | Panthers | 48-20 | WIN | +0.18 |
| R4 | Raiders v Sharks | Sharks | 1.80 / 2.00 | Raiders | 22-34 | WIN | +1.00 |
| R4 | Sea Eagles v Roosters | Sea Eagles | 2.70 / 1.47 | Roosters | 16-33 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R4 | Titans v Dragons | Dragons | 1.80 / 2.02 | Titans | 22-14 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R4 | Warriors v Tigers | Warriors | 1.20 / 4.50 | Warriors | 14-32 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R5 | Dolphins v Sea Eagles | Dolphins | 1.34 / 3.30 | Dolphins | 18-52 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R5 | Dragons v Cowboys | Cowboys | 2.05 / 1.77 | Cowboys | 0-32 | WIN | +0.77 |
| R5 | Eels v Tigers | Tigers | 1.90 / 1.90 | Pick'em | 20-22 | WIN | +0.90 |
| R5 | Knights v Raiders | Knights | 2.25 / 1.65 | Raiders | 32-12 | WIN | +1.25 |
| R5 | Panthers v Storm | Panthers | 1.35 / 3.20 | Panthers | 50-10 | WIN | +0.35 |
| R5 | Rabbitohs v Bulldogs | Rabbitohs | 1.85 / 1.95 | Rabbitohs | 32-24 | WIN | +0.85 |
| R5 | Sharks v Warriors | Warriors | 1.58 / 2.40 | Sharks | 36-22 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R5 | Titans v Broncos | Broncos | 4.10 / 1.24 | Broncos | 12-26 | WIN | +0.24 |
| R6 | Broncos v Cowboys | Cowboys | 1.80 / 2.00 | Broncos | 31-35 | WIN | +1.00 |
| R6 | Bulldogs v Panthers | Panthers | 6.00 / 1.13 | Panthers | 32-16 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R6 | Dragons v Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles | 2.80 / 1.44 | Sea Eagles | 18-28 | WIN | +0.44 |
| R6 | Eels v Titans | Titans | 1.65 / 2.25 | Eels | 10-52 | WIN | +1.25 |
| R6 | Rabbitohs v Raiders | Rabbitohs | 1.50 / 2.60 | Rabbitohs | 34-36 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R6 | Sharks v Roosters | Roosters | 2.00 / 1.80 | Roosters | 22-34 | WIN | +0.80 |
| R6 | Storm v Warriors | Storm | 1.33 / 3.35 | Storm | 14-38 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R6 | Tigers v Knights | Tigers | 1.60 / 2.35 | Tigers | 42-22 | WIN | +0.60 |
| R7 | Cowboys v Sea Eagles | Cowboys | 1.60 / 2.35 | Cowboys | 6-38 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R7 | Dolphins v Panthers | Panthers | 3.45 / 1.31 | Panthers | 22-23 | WIN | +0.31 |
| R7 | Eels v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 4.20 / 1.23 | Bulldogs | 38-20 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R7 | Rabbitohs v Dragons | Rabbitohs | 1.28 / 3.70 | Rabbitohs | 30-12 | WIN | +0.28 |
| R7 | Raiders v Storm | Raiders | 2.10 / 1.74 | Storm | 26-22 | WIN | +1.10 |
| R7 | Roosters v Knights | Roosters | 1.20 / 4.60 | Roosters | 38-24 | WIN | +0.20 |
| R7 | Warriors v Titans | Warriors | 1.29 / 3.60 | Warriors | 28-20 | WIN | +0.29 |
| R7 | Tigers v Broncos | Tigers | 1.55 / 2.45 | Tigers | 20-21 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R8 | Broncos v Bulldogs | Broncos | 2.30 / 1.62 | Bulldogs | 32-12 | WIN | +1.30 |
| R8 | Cowboys v Sharks | Cowboys | 1.95 / 1.85 | Sharks | 46-34 | WIN | +0.95 |
| R8 | Dragons v Roosters | Roosters | 5.00 / 1.17 | Roosters | 16-62 | WIN | +0.17 |
| R8 | Knights v Panthers | Panthers | 5.25 / 1.16 | Panthers | 12-44 | WIN | +0.16 |
| R8 | Sea Eagles v Eels | Sea Eagles | 1.40 / 2.95 | Sea Eagles | 33-18 | WIN | +0.40 |
| R8 | Storm v Rabbitohs | Rabbitohs | 1.55 / 2.45 | Storm | 6-48 | WIN | +1.45 |
| R8 | Warriors v Dolphins | Warriors | 1.47 / 2.65 | Warriors | 20-18 | WIN | +0.47 |
| R8 | Tigers v Raiders | Tigers | 1.48 / 2.65 | Tigers | 33-14 | WIN | +0.48 |
| R9 | Bulldogs v Cowboys | Bulldogs | 1.80 / 2.00 | Bulldogs | 12-28 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R9 | Dolphins v Storm | Dolphins | 1.62 / 2.30 | Dolphins | 28-10 | WIN | +0.62 |
| R9 | Eels v Warriors | Warriors | 2.80 / 1.44 | Warriors | 14-36 | WIN | +0.44 |
| R9 | Knights v Rabbitohs | Rabbitohs | 2.10 / 1.74 | Rabbitohs | 42-38 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R9 | Panthers v Sea Eagles | Panthers | 1.16 / 5.25 | Panthers | 18-16 | WIN | +0.16 |
| R9 | Roosters v Broncos | Roosters | 1.52 / 2.55 | Roosters | 38-24 | WIN | +0.52 |
| R9 | Sharks v Tigers | Sharks | 1.47 / 2.70 | Sharks | 52-10 | WIN | +0.47 |
| R9 | Titans v Raiders | Titans | 1.58 / 2.40 | Titans | 12-28 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R10 | Cowboys v Eels | Cowboys | 1.38 / 3.05 | Cowboys | 30-33 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R10 | Dolphins v Bulldogs | Dolphins | 1.45 / 2.75 | Dolphins | 44-12 | WIN | +0.45 |
| R10 | Dragons v Knights | Knights | 3.30 / 1.34 | Knights | 10-44 | WIN | +0.34 |
| R10 | Rabbitohs v Sharks | Sharks | 2.40 / 1.58 | Sharks | 36-12 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R10 | Raiders v Panthers | Panthers | 3.35 / 1.33 | Panthers | 18-30 | WIN | +0.33 |
| R10 | Roosters v Titans | Roosters | 1.16 / 5.25 | Roosters | 28-12 | WIN | +0.16 |
| R10 | Sea Eagles v Broncos | Sea Eagles | 1.95 / 1.85 | Broncos | 32-4 | WIN | +0.95 |
| R10 | Storm v Tigers | Storm | 1.33 / 3.35 | Storm | 44-16 | WIN | +0.33 |
| R11 | Eels v Storm | Storm | 3.05 / 1.38 | Storm | 8-34 | WIN | +0.38 |
| R11 | Panthers v Dragons | Panthers | 1.06 / 9.50 | Panthers | 28-6 | WIN | +0.06 |
| R11 | Rabbitohs v Dolphins | Dolphins | 2.10 / 1.74 | Dolphins | 10-32 | WIN | +0.74 |
| R11 | Roosters v Cowboys | Cowboys | 1.20 / 4.60 | Roosters | 12-18 | WIN | +3.60 |
| R11 | Sharks v Bulldogs | Sharks | 1.55 / 2.45 | Sharks | 38-16 | WIN | +0.55 |
| R11 | Titans v Knights | Knights | 3.00 / 1.39 | Knights | 12-36 | WIN | +0.39 |
| R11 | Warriors v Broncos | Warriors | 1.74 / 2.10 | Warriors | 42-12 | WIN | +0.74 |
| R11 | Tigers v Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles | 3.30 / 1.33 | Sea Eagles | 18-46 | WIN | +0.33 |
| R12 | Bulldogs v Storm | Bulldogs | 1.70 / 2.15 | Bulldogs | 30-20 | WIN | +0.70 |
| R12 | Cowboys v Rabbitohs | Cowboys | 1.58 / 2.40 | Cowboys | 30-18 | WIN | +0.58 |
| R12 | Dragons v Warriors | Warriors | 4.00 / 1.25 | Warriors | 12-30 | WIN | +0.25 |
| R12 | Raiders v Dolphins | Raiders | 1.68 / 2.20 | Raiders | 22-30 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R12 | Sea Eagles v Titans | Sea Eagles | 1.28 / 3.70 | Sea Eagles | 12-10 | WIN | +0.28 |
| R13 | Broncos v Dragons | Broncos | 1.10 / 7.00 | Broncos | 26-30 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R13 | Knights v Eels | Knights | 1.20 / 4.50 | Knights | 28-22 | WIN | +0.20 |
| R13 | Panthers v Warriors | Panthers | 1.77 / 2.05 | Panthers | 20-18 | WIN | +0.77 |
| R13 | Raiders v Cowboys | Cowboys | 1.65 / 2.25 | Raiders | 26-12 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R13 | Sharks v Sea Eagles | Sharks | 1.80 / 2.00 | Sharks | 28-22 | WIN | +0.80 |
| R13 | Storm v Roosters | Storm | 2.25 / 1.65 | Roosters | 18-4 | WIN | +1.25 |
| R13 | Tigers v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 1.74 / 2.10 | Tigers | 22-16 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R14 | Broncos v Titans | Broncos | 1.40 / 3.00 | Broncos | 23-28 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R14 | Bulldogs v Eels | Bulldogs | 1.41 / 2.90 | Bulldogs | 14-12 | WIN | +0.41 |
| R14 | Cowboys v Dolphins | Dolphins | 2.55 / 1.52 | Dolphins | 14-40 | WIN | +0.52 |
| R14 | Raiders v Roosters | Raiders | 2.30 / 1.62 | Roosters | 0-26 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R14 | Sea Eagles v Rabbitohs | Sea Eagles | 1.62 / 2.30 | Sea Eagles | 28-14 | WIN | +0.62 |
| R14 | Sharks v Dragons | Sharks | 1.30 / 3.50 | Sharks | 34-12 | WIN | +0.30 |
| R14 | Storm v Knights | Storm | 1.65 / 2.25 | Storm | 32-30 | WIN | +0.65 |
| R14 | Tigers v Panthers | Panthers | 4.90 / 1.18 | Panthers | 0-68 | WIN | +0.18 |
| R15 | Dolphins v Roosters | Dolphins | 1.36 / 3.20 | Dolphins | 48-10 | WIN | +0.36 |
| R15 | Eels v Raiders | Eels | 2.15 / 1.70 | Raiders | 15-12 | WIN | +1.15 |
| R15 | Rabbitohs v Broncos | Rabbitohs | 1.43 / 2.85 | Rabbitohs | 48-6 | WIN | +0.43 |
| R15 | Warriors v Sharks | Warriors | 1.40 / 2.95 | Warriors | 8-10 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R15 | Tigers v Titans | Tigers | 1.55 / 2.45 | Tigers | 36-28 | WIN | +0.55 |
| R16 | Bulldogs v Sea Eagles | Bulldogs | 3.10 / 1.37 | Sea Eagles | 13-12 | WIN | +2.10 |
| R16 | Knights v Dragons | Knights | 1.29 / 3.60 | Knights | 22-20 | WIN | +0.29 |
| R16 | Roosters v Sharks | Roosters | 1.60 / 2.35 | Roosters | 27-8 | WIN | +0.60 |
| R16 | Storm v Raiders | Storm | 1.42 / 2.85 | Storm | 42-20 | WIN | +0.42 |
| R16 | Titans v Panthers | Panthers | 4.10 / 1.24 | Panthers | 19-18 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R16 | Warriors v Cowboys | Cowboys | 1.45 / 2.75 | Warriors | 38-20 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R16 | Tigers v Dolphins | Dolphins | 2.50 / 1.53 | Dolphins | 22-36 | WIN | +0.53 |
| R17 | Broncos v Roosters | Roosters | 2.80 / 1.44 | Roosters | 18-24 | WIN | +0.44 |
| R17 | Cowboys v Panthers | Panthers | 4.00 / 1.25 | Panthers | 26-12 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R17 | Dolphins v Warriors | Dolphins | 1.42 / 2.90 | Dolphins | 26-24 | WIN | +0.42 |
| R17 | Eels v Rabbitohs | Rabbitohs | 2.40 / 1.58 | Rabbitohs | 12-32 | WIN | +0.58 |
| R17 | Knights v Tigers | Knights | 1.36 / 3.15 | Knights | 12-6 | WIN | +0.36 |
| R17 | Raiders v Dragons | Raiders | 1.34 / 3.30 | Raiders | 24-16 | WIN | +0.34 |
| R17 | Sea Eagles v Storm | Sea Eagles | 1.50 / 2.60 | Sea Eagles | 30-4 | WIN | +0.50 |
| R17 | Titans v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 1.80 / 2.02 | Titans | 12-30 | WIN | +1.02 |
| R18 | Broncos v Sharks | Sharks | 2.60 / 1.50 | Sharks | 16-28 | WIN | +0.50 |
| R18 | Dragons v Tigers | Tigers | 2.45 / 1.55 | Tigers | 24-10 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R18 | Eels v Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles | 3.15 / 1.36 | Sea Eagles | 23-14 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R18 | Knights v Dolphins | Knights | 2.00 / 1.80 | Dolphins | 13-12 | WIN | +1.00 |
| R18 | Panthers v Rabbitohs | Panthers | 1.60 / 2.35 | Panthers | 36-14 | WIN | +0.60 |
| R19 | Bulldogs v Raiders | Bulldogs | 1.65 / 2.25 | Bulldogs | 16-40 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R19 | Dolphins v Sharks | Dolphins | 1.77 / 2.05 | Dolphins | 0-66 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R19 | Rabbitohs v Knights | Knights | 2.05 / 1.74 | Knights | 26-24 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R19 | Roosters v Eels | Roosters | 1.28 / 3.70 | Roosters | 28-12 | WIN | +0.28 |
| R19 | Sea Eagles v Cowboys | Sea Eagles | 1.44 / 2.80 | Sea Eagles | 18-19 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R19 | Storm v Titans | Storm | 1.30 / 3.50 | Storm | 22-18 | WIN | +0.30 |
| R19 | Tigers v Warriors | Warriors | 3.10 / 1.37 | Warriors | 6-32 | WIN | +0.37 |
| R20 | Bulldogs v Tigers | Bulldogs | 1.50 / 2.60 | Bulldogs | 32-0 | WIN | +0.50 |
| R20 | Dolphins v Cowboys | Dolphins | 1.60 / 2.35 | Dolphins | 36-16 | WIN | +0.60 |
| R20 | Panthers v Broncos | Panthers | 1.25 / 4.00 | Panthers | 12-14 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R20 | Raiders v Rabbitohs | Rabbitohs | 1.85 / 1.95 | Raiders | 34-24 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R20 | Roosters v Storm | Roosters | 1.27 / 3.75 | Roosters | 14-6 | WIN | +0.27 |
| R20 | Sharks v Knights | Sharks | 1.40 / 2.95 | Sharks | 20-18 | WIN | +0.40 |
| R20 | Titans v Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles | 2.45 / 1.55 | Sea Eagles | 38-32 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R20 | Warriors v Dragons | Warriors | 1.16 / 5.25 | Warriors | 20-12 | WIN | +0.16 |
| R21 | Bulldogs v Warriors | Warriors | 2.40 / 1.58 | Warriors | 18-6 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R21 | Cowboys v Broncos | Broncos | 2.35 / 1.60 | Broncos | 18-10 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R21 | Dragons v Titans | Titans | 1.80 / 2.00 | Dragons | 18-38 | WIN | +1.00 |
| R21 | Eels v Panthers | Panthers | 4.90 / 1.18 | Panthers | 18-24 | WIN | +0.18 |
| R21 | Knights v Roosters | Roosters | 3.15 / 1.37 | Roosters | 22-23 | WIN | +0.37 |
| R21 | Rabbitohs v Storm | Rabbitohs | 1.95 / 1.85 | Storm | 28-26 | WIN | +0.95 |
| R21 | Raiders v Tigers | Raiders | 1.20 / 4.55 | Raiders | 56-10 | WIN | +0.20 |
| R21 | Sea Eagles v Sharks | Sharks | 2.40 / 1.58 | Sharks | 12-48 | WIN | +0.58 |
| R22 | Broncos v Knights | Knights | 1.50 / 2.60 | Broncos | 6-30 | WIN | +1.60 |
| R22 | Cowboys v Roosters | Roosters | 2.50 / 1.53 | Roosters | 12-82 | WIN | +0.53 |
| R22 | Dragons v Dolphins | Dolphins | 5.50 / 1.15 | Dolphins | 22-28 | WIN | +0.15 |
| R22 | Panthers v Raiders | Panthers | 1.33 / 3.35 | Panthers | 42-18 | WIN | +0.33 |
| R22 | Sharks v Rabbitohs | Sharks | 1.18 / 4.90 | Sharks | 32-16 | WIN | +0.18 |
| R22 | Storm v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 3.75 / 1.27 | Bulldogs | 22-36 | WIN | +0.27 |
| R22 | Titans v Warriors | Warriors | 2.40 / 1.58 | Warriors | 6-42 | WIN | +0.58 |
| R22 | Tigers v Eels | Eels | 2.70 / 1.47 | Eels | 13-16 | WIN | +0.47 |
| R23 | Titans v Cowboys | Cowboys | 2.45 / 1.55 | Cowboys | 8-30 | WIN | +0.55 |
| R23 | Warriors v Panthers | Panthers | 2.25 / 1.65 | Panthers | 28-12 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R23 | Roosters v Bulldogs | Roosters | 1.47 / 2.70 | Roosters | 20-18 | WIN | +0.47 |
| R23 | Storm v Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles | 2.15 / 1.70 | Sea Eagles | 42-20 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R23 | Dolphins v Broncos | Dolphins | 1.38 / 3.10 | Dolphins | 40-32 | WIN | +0.38 |
| R23 | Rabbitohs v Eels | Rabbitohs | 1.33 / 3.30 | Rabbitohs | 28-24 | WIN | +0.33 |
| R23 | Raiders v Knights | Knights | 1.60 / 2.35 | Raiders | 24-30 | WIN | +1.35 |
| R23 | Dragons v Sharks | Sharks | 6.00 / 1.13 | Sharks | 24-16 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R24 | Panthers v Roosters | Panthers | 1.52 / 2.55 | Panthers | 6-12 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R24 | Sea Eagles v Dolphins | Dolphins | 3.60 / 1.29 | Dolphins | 0-22 | WIN | +0.29 |
| R24 | Bulldogs v Rabbitohs | Bulldogs | 1.55 / 2.45 | Bulldogs | 6-22 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R24 | Sharks v Raiders | Sharks | 1.30 / 3.50 | Sharks | 20-24 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R24 | Eels v Cowboys | Cowboys | 2.55 / 1.52 | Cowboys | 32-30 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R24 | Broncos v Warriors | Warriors | 2.90 / 1.42 | Warriors | 6-40 | WIN | +0.42 |
| R24 | Knights v Titans | Knights | 1.27 / 3.80 | Knights | 36-26 | WIN | +0.27 |
| R24 | Tigers v Dragons | Tigers | 1.78 / 2.00 | Tigers | 22-24 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R25 | Storm v Panthers | Panthers | 3.10 / 1.38 | Panthers | 14-22 | WIN | +0.38 |
| R25 | Raiders v Broncos | Raiders | 1.29 / 3.60 | Raiders | 30-34 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R25 | Dolphins v Eels | Dolphins | 1.18 / 4.85 | Dolphins | 34-16 | WIN | +0.18 |
| R25 | Knights v Sea Eagles | Knights | 1.45 / 2.75 | Knights | 24-44 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R25 | Rabbitohs v Warriors | Warriors | 2.20 / 1.68 | Warriors | 26-45 | WIN | +0.68 |
| R25 | Dragons v Bulldogs | Bulldogs | 2.85 / 1.43 | Bulldogs | 14-44 | WIN | +0.43 |
| R25 | Titans v Sharks | Sharks | 3.10 / 1.38 | Sharks | 22-30 | WIN | +0.38 |
| R25 | Roosters v Tigers | Roosters | 1.08 / 8.00 | Roosters | 24-25 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R26 | Broncos v Storm | Storm | 2.50 / 1.54 | Storm | 20-46 | WIN | +0.54 |
| R26 | Sea Eagles v Dragons | Sea Eagles | 1.33 / 3.35 | Sea Eagles | 44-10 | WIN | +0.33 |
| R26 | Panthers v Bulldogs | Panthers | 1.34 / 3.30 | Panthers | 24-10 | WIN | +0.34 |
| R26 | Titans v Rabbitohs | Rabbitohs | 4.00 / 1.25 | Rabbitohs | 22-42 | WIN | +0.25 |
| R26 | Roosters v Dolphins | Dolphins | 1.57 / 2.40 | Roosters | 12-26 | WIN | +1.40 |
| R26 | Cowboys v Tigers | Cowboys | 1.26 / 3.90 | Cowboys | 24-10 | WIN | +0.26 |
| R26 | Warriors v Knights | Warriors | 1.42 / 2.90 | Warriors | 46-32 | WIN | +0.42 |
| R26 | Eels v Sharks | Sharks | 3.10 / 1.37 | Sharks | 38-18 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R27 | Bulldogs v Broncos | Bulldogs | 1.43 / 2.85 | Bulldogs | 20-34 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R27 | Titans v Dolphins | Dolphins | 3.70 / 1.28 | Dolphins | 20-24 | WIN | +0.28 |
| R27 | Rabbitohs v Roosters | Rabbitohs | 1.11 / 6.50 | Rabbitohs | 50-20 | WIN | +0.11 |
| R27 | Warriors v Sea Eagles | Warriors | 1.30 / 3.55 | Warriors | 31-30 | WIN | +0.30 |
| R27 | Cowboys v Raiders | Cowboys | 1.50 / 2.60 | Cowboys | 30-50 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R27 | Sharks v Storm | Storm | 3.35 / 1.33 | Storm | 20-24 | WIN | +0.33 |
| R27 | Dragons v Eels | Eels | 2.35 / 1.60 | Eels | 24-22 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| R27 | Panthers v Tigers | Panthers | 1.10 / 7.00 | Panthers | 38-10 | WIN | +0.10 |
| FW1 | Rabbitohs v Knights | Rabbitohs | 1.40 / 3.00 | Rabbitohs | 10-20 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| FW1 | Warriors v Dolphins | Warriors | 1.67 / 2.20 | Warriors | 16-26 | LOSS | -1.00 |
| FW1 | Sharks v Cowboys | Sharks | 1.42 / 2.90 | Sharks | 26-16 | WIN | +0.42 |
| FW1 | Panthers v Roosters | Panthers | 1.38 / 3.10 | Panthers | 19-12 | WIN | +0.38 |
| FW2 | Roosters v Sharks | Roosters | 1.48 / 2.65 | Roosters | 46-10 | WIN | +0.48 |
| FW2 | Warriors v Knights | Warriors | 1.40 / 3.00 | Warriors | 10-12 | LOSS | -1.00 |